2.20pm Ayr – Barney Dwan 1pt Win (11/2)
Waiting for decent ground all season long, Barney Dwan hasn’t really had his ideal conditions at all, but he gets them today and he can take advantage. Second in the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham off this mark last year behind Presenting Percy is a high class piece of form and he wasn’t disgraced in the Close Brothers Handicap Chase at the Festival this year on ground that didn’t suit. Back up to 3 miles on a sound surface today is ideal and he has to go close.
2.35pm Newbury – Natural 1pt Each Way (10/1)
I’m not sure this is the strongest renewal of the Fred Darling we’ve seen and I’m struggling to see Natural missing out on the places. She won her only start at 7f and kept pretty good company thereafter, disappointing slightly on quick ground in the Albany at Royal Ascot before a second at Newbury which is one of the strongest pieces of form on offer here. Behind Madeline who was placed in a Group 1 subsequently and ahead of Another Batt. Gavota will likely be tough to beat, but at the prices, Natural looks worth a punt.
2.55pm Ayr – Charli Parcs 1pt Each Way (14/1)
I’ve never been a huge fan of this horse, I don’t really know why, but there is no denying he has talent when everything falls right. Once again a horse that seems to need good ground to be seen to best effect, he gets that for the first time all campaign. 3lbs lower than when second on his reappearance run at Newbury, he’ll most likely travel there on the bridle two out and on this quicker ground I can just see him finding a bit more than he has done this season. He needs to take a step up, but I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he were to make the frame.
4.05pm Ayr – The Young Master 0.5pts Each Way (14/1) & Silsol 0.5pts Each Way (22/1) – 6 Places bet365
A couple of darts at the Scottish Grand National, starting with The Young Master, he is dangerously well-handicapped off a mark of 132, 16lbs lower then when winning the bet365 Gold Cup at this time of year in 2016 and he shapes as though the ability is still there. Silsol has ran well in a pair on National’s this season, the Welsh and Midlands versions, both on Heavy ground. But the last time he raced on ground officially ‘Good’, he got the better of none other than this years Gold Cup winner Native River. His mark of 142 is definitely well within his grasp and Harry Cobden has had a brilliant season and is riding with plenty of confidence.
5.15pm Ayr – Ballyvic Boru 1pt Win (7/1)
Very much suited by good ground (2-2), Ballyvic Boru is having his first run since a Wind Operation and it’s his handicap debut. An opening mark of 117 looks generous considering what he’s done when getting his conditions, he beat Beyond The Clouds in a bumper (contesting the Scottish Champion Hurdle earlier on the card off a mark of 142) and also a 125 rated hurdler extremely easily over hurdles at Perth. If on a going day, he’ll be tough to beat.
Leave a Reply